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13 articles available

South Korea - Tip of the Liquidity Spear

Blake HuberBlake Huber

When global liquidity begins to contract, it shows up in the highest beta asset classes and names because these assets are most sensitive to changes in liquidity. In bull markets of any significant length, investors forget that the expanding liquidity which rapidly pushed up asset prices in the recent past, decreases prices with the equal severity when it contracts.

Economic Acceleration: The Dangerous Path to a Tightening Bias

Blake HuberBlake Huber

Up until last month, the market priced in 2 additional interest rate cuts for 2026. After the Federal Reserve meeting in March, the market is now pricing in a rate increase in Q4 of 2026. This is a dramatic swing of 75 bps of tightening. Despite comprehensive calls for a U.S. recession in the last 2 years, the opposite appears to be occurring. There is wide-ranging evidence the economy is accelerating. This acceleration is unwelcome as inflation is still dramatically above the Federal Reserve target of 2% and will be exacerbated by expanding economic pressures.

Sector Rotation: Revenge of the Fallen

Blake HuberBlake Huber

The Beveridge Curve relates US unemployment rate to job openings rate. This important macro economic predictor may have experienced a permanent shift as a result of the COVID Pandemic in 2020-2022. This presentation outlines the important changes in the labor market driven by notable employer changes that become obvious when one considers in sector rotation in equities.