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9 articles available

Economic Acceleration: The Dangerous Path to a Tightening Bias

Blake HuberBlake Huber

Up until last month, the market priced in 2 additional interest rate cuts for 2026. After the Federal Reserve meeting in March, the market is now pricing in a rate increase in Q4 of 2026. This is a dramatic swing of 75 bps of tightening. Despite comprehensive calls for a U.S. recession in the last 2 years, the opposite appears to be occurring. There is wide-ranging evidence the economy is accelerating. This acceleration is unwelcome as inflation is still dramatically above the Federal Reserve target of 2% and will be exacerbated by expanding economic pressures.

Sector Rotation: Revenge of the Fallen

Blake HuberBlake Huber

The Beveridge Curve relates US unemployment rate to job openings rate. This important macro economic predictor may have experienced a permanent shift as a result of the COVID Pandemic in 2020-2022. This presentation outlines the important changes in the labor market driven by notable employer changes that become obvious when one considers in sector rotation in equities.