Market Update
Blake HuberHedge fund positioning shows that elite funds are positioning short equities en mass.
In-depth market analysis, investment theses, and economic research from our community.
13 articles available
Blake HuberHedge fund positioning shows that elite funds are positioning short equities en mass.
Blake HuberWhen global liquidity begins to contract, it shows up in the highest beta asset classes and names because these assets are most sensitive to changes in liquidity. In bull markets of any significant length, investors forget that the expanding liquidity which rapidly pushed up asset prices in the recent past, decreases prices with the equal severity when it contracts.
Blake HuberWhen spreads trade at record tights, it is the direct result of market complacency and an overreach for yield. The validity of signals originating from the fixed income markets cannot be overstated. There is no greater incorruptible prognostication that the 3 year rally in global risk assets is nearing an end.
Blake HuberDuring the last year, the main-stream financial media has been replete with stories extolling the imminent failure of Private Credit Lenders. This presentation takes an objective look at the numbers inside the Private Credit industry to ascertain the validity of forecasts for the demise of the sector.
Blake HuberThis presentation highlights 20+ metropolitan areas that are experiencing extreme valuations in 2026 which exceed the early 2000's Housing Bubble which led to the the Great Financial Crisis in 2008.
Blake HuberUp until last month, the market priced in 2 additional interest rate cuts for 2026. After the Federal Reserve meeting in March, the market is now pricing in a rate increase in Q4 of 2026. This is a dramatic swing of 75 bps of tightening. Despite comprehensive calls for a U.S. recession in the last 2 years, the opposite appears to be occurring. There is wide-ranging evidence the economy is accelerating. This acceleration is unwelcome as inflation is still dramatically above the Federal Reserve target of 2% and will be exacerbated by expanding economic pressures.
Russell MooreThe application of Machine Learning to security analysis. Comparative analysis of Meta and other industry titans comparing and contrasting their respective goals for machine learning programs.
Blake HuberPresident Trump has levied severe tariffs on trading partners because of the U.S. has largely run a negative trade balance for decades. On a global basis, trades should be a zero-sum game; however, it is not. This presentation shows that the average developed economy runs a current account deficit in the world today.
Blake HuberNVIDIA Corporation has been a focus for Wall Street for several years as its market capitalisation surpassed all but the very largest companies in the world. The market reaction to NVIDIA's Q4 2025 quarterly earnings this week provides telling clues about the future of Nvidia's meteoric rise.
Blake HuberThe Beveridge Curve relates US unemployment rate to job openings rate. This important macro economic predictor may have experienced a permanent shift as a result of the COVID Pandemic in 2020-2022. This presentation outlines the important changes in the labor market driven by notable employer changes that become obvious when one considers in sector rotation in equities.
Theresa reviews the delayed effects of tariffs and how it and other factors have impacted inflation.
Russell MooreBackground on Platinum & Palladium as investment assets. Information on what they are, where they come from, why they are important, and types of investments you can make.